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Originally Posted by Mortimer
I tend to think the way to go is the taking points as well.
Tell me otherwise LF.
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Well, as a Michigan fan, I have reservations about this game, and as a bettor I would not touch it, but if internet toughguy BentMahPud were to hold a gun to my head and force me to make a bet on the money line, I would take Michigan to win the game.
Of course, Michigan has had trouble for years with teams that spread the field and force their back seven to play in space (something that should not be allowed, since Bo and Woody wouldn’t have done it that way), but they have pretty much dominated Purdue in spite of this. My feeling is that this is because Purdue has lacked a running QB that can threaten them with the draw/spread option and a big, physical, run-blocking Offensive Line. The other teams that have exposed Michigan’s deficiencies against the spread (Ohio State, Oregon, Michigan State) have done so because of the run game more than the passing game.
Also, I don’t think Purdue’s defense is very good, as evidenced by the performance of great offensive teams like the Noodles and Gophers against them, so I think even Michigan’s predictable, stuck in 1985 offense will be able to protect their defense and wear down Brock Spack’s unit (Cajanatah should like that one).
Additionally, this is Michigan’s homecoming game and they haven’t lost at home to Purdue since the LBJ administration, so I think they may actually be up for this game.
I wouldn’t expect it to be easy, and nothing will surprise me with this Michigan team, but I think Michigan will win this. As far as taking the 5.5, it is a better bet than the money line, but less than a TD would not make it an attractive game to bet, in my opinion.
If you want to bet against Michigan, save your money for next week against Illinois.