A race like the Goodwood is a very tough one to handicap I think. So many of these horses are moving from the ridiculously slow Del Mar poly to the relatively unknown Santa Anita Cushion. One would presume that the new surface would play like the Hollywood Cushion, and that the form these West Coasters showed there would be the best thing to look at. But then I read where several people (including Victor Espinoza) have said that the Cushion at Santa Anita is significantly different than the surface at Hollywood.
Then you have a horse like Lewis Michael who - like most of these - is going from poly to cushion, but he is coming from the Arlington poly which is a lot different than the Del Mar poly. I know his trainer thinks Lewis Michael is the "best polytrack horse in the world" but how will that form transfer to the cushion? Also, Lewis Michael's big "G2" win in his last start came against absolutely nobody.
Like I said, it seems like a tough one to me.
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