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Old 09-21-2007, 09:14 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
If the conveyor belt was in the 5th path and carrying closers.....

As for statistics, the 1 1/16 mile races on the AP Poly should be totally tossed out, since in previous years, they basically never ran them (maybe 5 in the previous 15 years combined). These races are basically handed to a speed horse on a silver platter, with the short run to the turn and the finish line at the 1/16th pole for an approxiametely 700 foot stretch run. I noticed that when they'd have a mile race taken off the turf, they'd run one of those goofy 1 1/16 mile races. I believe AP management wanted these, because they knew they would skew their statistics to make the early speed numbers a bit better. If those races were run out of the mile chute like they should've been, no doubt there would have been a noticeable change.
I know you read my post three back with the running style statistics, but apparently you didn't understand what it meant as it completely refutes what you are contending here. The 1 1/16 races at AP were not handed to speed horses on a silver platter, compared to the mile chute races the running styles faired remarkably similar, in fact they're nearly identical.

Why should the 1 1/6 mile data be thrown out? I didn't compare it to previous years because frankly I don't have that data and am not interested in it. It was a different surface and track configuration so why would it matter? I was interested in comparing this years 1 1/16 races to the mile chute races, and to the 1 1/16 miles races at Hawthorne. That is entirely valid.

Also since it seems you don't like races handed to speed horses on a silver platter, where are your comments about Hawthorne? Did you look at the data. If anyone is trying to skew their numbers towards speed horses its Hawthorne not AP.

I highly doubt that Arlington management went through the trouble of adding a second finish line and carding 1 1/16 mile races to skew the statistics to make early speed numbers look better. If so they failed miserably.
I believe that there was a demand for the distance from horseman who wanted a 2 turn alternative to 1 1/8 miles.
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