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Originally Posted by Bold Brooklynite
Yes ... it was a weaker-than-average BC Sprint field ... but you write as if Silver Train were the only horse who defeated Lost In The Fog that day ... which is far from the case.
And you're not allowing for any improvement on Silver Train's part ... he was clearly much better at the end of last year than at the beginning ... and has demonstrated that he's even better this year ... at least at Belmont Park ... than he was last year.
Lost In The Fog seems to have been an early maturer ... who did not improve beyond the summer of his 3YO year. He was much-the-best 3YO sprinter through August ... but that's about all you can conclusively say about him.
His record subsequent to that ... speaks for itself.
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As I've said before, I'm not going to judge LITF on races where he didn't fire. Silver Train lost his first two races this year. He lost an allowance race against Spooky Mulder and he didn't even hit the board agaisnt Mister Fotis. Does that mean that Silver Train's other races are not good. Not at all. He obviously did not run his best against Mister Fotis. I could make the same arguments as you guys. I could say that when ST faces quality competition, he loses. I could say that he only wins when he catches weak fields. We all know that the grading of a race does not necessarily correlate with its difficulty. In general, Grade I races are tougher than Grade III races but not always. I've seen plenty of weak Grade I races. I've seen plenty of strong Grade III races that played tougher than Gade I races.
By the way, Leroidisanimaux is a good example of a horse who simply ran one too many hard races last year. That Woodbine race took too much out of him and he didn't run his best in the BC. It wasn't that the BC Mile was too tough of a race for him. He had bad feet and he didn't fire that day. He actually ran in bar-shoes in the BC Mile.