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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
Alright, that is fair. You are making a legitimate argument if so say that he didn't fire but he wouldn't have won even if he did fire. I have no problem with that. But I think it's absurd to say that he ran his race on Saturday.
I'm not saying that I agree with you, but at least what you are saying is reasonable. Here is why I disagree with you though: You guys are basically saying that LITF lost the BC Sprint because he's not that good and he's not a Grade I horse. Here's the problem with that logic. There weren't really any Grade I horses in the BC Sprint. It was actually a pretty weak field last year. Who won the BC Sprint? Silver Train. Who was he? He was a 3 year old who had done way less than LITF. Silver Train was losing to bad 3 year olds all year. The knock on LITF was that he was only winning graded stakes races against 3 year olds. Silver Train was losing ungraded stakes races and allowane races agaisnt 3 year olds. So even if LITF was not a true Grade I horse, he should have still been able to beat Silver Train. How did ST win the race? He wasn't a Grade I horse. I'm sure you guys though that LITF was a much better horse than ST going into that race. ST had never done anything. The field was so bad that ST, who was consistently losing to 3 year olds, only went off at 11-1. What does that tell you? It wasn't that tough of a field. LITF would have been very competetive if he would have run his best.
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Once again, he doesn't seem to be able to run his best race against big competitive fields. You can call them misfires I call them running to his ability.
When you have to run faster and wider than you are accustomed it's not as easy as when you can just sail out to the lead.
You're right last years BC was not the greatest field and LITF had no excuses. That will go down as his greatest race against older G1 horses. It wasn't a misfire. That's why he is such an easy throw-out in a race like the Smile because he is not a G1 sprinter.
Before the BC sprint I thought that LITF was going to finish up the track and used 5-6 horses in the pick three, ST being one of them, so no I for one did not think LITF was much better than ST. To me he looked good but was unproven in G1's and he remains so.