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Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
many of us myself included have/had a stigma or dislike for l.r....why does that happen ...it does but i dont know why...the three year old year was nothing great ..but the connections got wise and dumped the trainer and that awfull jock.....still no love and written off by me and many in the first toga race.. loved wandering boy the way the track was playing and didnt really look at lr..hes a good horse and my own write em off thinking cost me dearly.. why do cappers and players get this write em off thinking.... maybee money burnt in the past....
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More a maatter of having conviction in what you see and think than anything else. Short run, you can be wrong about a horse like LR. But, really, what does it matter if you're wrong about a 4/5 shot? In the long run, your convictions are good and your results hold up. That's all that matters. As a fan, sure the big G1's are important but as a bettor,they are pretty insignificant imo. We all get tunnel vision. With me, it tends not to be having a bad opinion on a G1 or other stakes horse but rather it tends to be that I convince myself of seeing things on replays that just aren't there (or are not as significant as I think), resulting in bad playbacks. But I wouldn't trade my approach of looking for solid plays on mid-class horses for any other approach. I just wish these hallucinations I've been having for the past month would stop.