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Originally Posted by miraja2
What do you guys think of the other "Dreaming of" horse, Dreaming of Liz, in the tenth? I can't make up my mind. Her last race was certainly impressive, she has been training like a monster, and her pedigree (particularly the dam-side) seems to indicate that stretching out a bit won't be a huge problem.
On the other hand, she is making a big jump in class while stretching out against stakes-tested fillies like Wonderful Luck. The fact that she is coming from way out there in post 11 seems problematic too.
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I would totally throw out the post issue -- on the long stretch in those one turn mile races at Arlington, being outside can be a huge advantage with over a half mile to get position. I'd rather have her out in the clear than boxed in down near the rail with her position chosen for her by the other riders instead of her own.
I think she's got a HUGE shot, her first race was pretty decent when you look at where the winner went next, and her pedigree sure makes it seem like this mile will be even better for her than her previous starts.
I'd also be surprised if she doesn't go favored.