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Originally Posted by Hail2Reason
It isn't a matter of whether or not he can get 10f. Obviously he can. He just can't beat the top horses at that distance. He has tried repeatedly and failed repeatedly. Curlin has tried and won. AGS has tried and won. They don't have problems getting the distance.
Hard Spun's best distance is 8f and shorter. Look at the last 1/8th of all his route races. He tires.
Are you saying you know better than the trainer who ran him in a 7f race yesterday instead of a 10f race? The Travers is a much more prestigious race than the Kings Bishop but for some reason the trainer went 7f.
If he runs poorly in the Classic nobody will care. Everyone already knows he can't run that far. Great race for him because he can't hurt his reputation, just like Coolmore's miler last year, George Washington.
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So your over/under on his BCC would be an extremely indifferent 6th?
I'll bet you on that for whatever you want, and take the "6th or better".