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Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Wanderin Boy opted to skip the Classic last year when he could have run in it. Now he'll likely run in the Dirt Mile yet he'll be used as an example of a pace horse lost from the Classic even though he wouldn't have run in it either way. I think you are overestimating the lure of an ungraded $1 million race as opposed to a $5 million G1 that is the biggest race on the planet. The horses that go in the Dirt Mile will for the most part be horses that wouldn't have run in the BC otherwise. Perhaps Brother Derek and Suave would have been lost from the field last year, certainly an impact on the race but it is hardly going to turn into a sitatuion where the Dirt Mile turns the Classic into a paceless affair. This could all change though if the purse in the Dirt Mile were to be boosted in the future and it were elevated to G1 status. For now though anyone that feels they have enough of a chance in the Classic to enter will do so regardless of whether or not there is a Dirt Mile as an option.
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I don't agree.
Lawyer Ron....who would be the clear-cut consensus favorite for the BC Classic among the older males...he was being pointed to the BC Dirt Mile as lately as less than one month ago.
Even before he went to post as the favorite for the Met Mile, his goal was the BC Dirt Mile. I'm sure his Whitney performance changes that.
I think you'd be surprised at how many trainers would rather be 3rd or 4th choice in the Dirt Mile betting, than 8th or 9th choice (at massive odds) in the Classic betting.