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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Like Gottcha Gold had no shot of beating Lawyer Ron at near level weight?
Hard Spun only lost the Derby because the winner was allowed to pass 16 horses without leaving the rail....his race was unarguably better.
You really think he's as effective when he doesn't have the lead? To hold the fact that he out-photo'd Curlin against him...while denied the lead after an early stumble....I don't see the logic behind that.
But hey, Hard Spun will be a price in the Classic.....I'd be very excited to bet him in that spot.
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in his last winning effort he didn't have the lead, the Turfway race. I don't think his issue is so much having the lead or not. I think its just that you have to just let him run, don't try to restrain him, but also don't count on any passing gear either. If he makes the lead fine, but he can also sit off of a determined speed horse inside of him like Cable Boy.
I will be very eager to leave him off the top of my ticket in the breeders cup classic, should he go that route which i doubt. I can't even imagine what kind of perfect storm it would take for him to win that race. how many consecutive 2-4 place finishes will it take to convince you he isn't at the top of the 3yo crop, let alone elders.
Nice horse for sure, not a classic contender imo.