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Originally Posted by miraja2
Well, it is certainly possible. If I remember correctly however, he seemed to be training decently at CD before the Derby, and he seemed to handle the track okay in opening half of the BCC. In my opinion it was the 10f rather than the track that did him in those days, but we can't know that for sure.
Also, those two races were won by a couple of horses named Barbaro and Invasor, and I feel confident in saying that he won't have to worry about meeting horses of that caliber this year. However, it wasn't like it was just those horses that beat him. Afterall, horses like Jazil and Steppenwolfer beat him too.
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I don't put much stock in how horses are training over a track. Besides Churchill is well known for changing their surface on big days. I think it is likely that he is a much better horse at 9 furlongs than 10 but I think the fact that both flops at 10 were at Churchill is worth factoring in to your capping. Of course after that race he'll be an eternal underlay and play against from here on out so it is probably irrelevant.