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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
So as not to appear to be talking down to you I will be as succinct as possible...
That response was your stupidest and least thought out yet. The only thing you are demonstrating is that you don't have a clue as to what I am talking about. Sorry, you are also demonstrating a complete lack of understanding of probability.
At the risk of talking down to you, as you don't seem to be leaving me much choice, statistically speaking the second choice has a better chance of winning ( this means he WILL win more often ) than the third or fourth choice.
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As will I (be succinct)..
I made the point that I don't believe Commentator can keep up with Henny Hughes, Anew, Too Much Bling, Lost in the Fog, etc. at six furlongs.
Your response, essentially was:
"Well, out of those four, probably only Lost in the Fog will take more money!"
Kudos.
Your point is ridiculous. Using your logic, I can pick out any race I want at any track in America and say, because Horse X is the second choice in a race, that this horse has the second best chance to win said race.