These things I have learned....
1. If there is a low-priced favorite in the race that looks worthy of its odds, it most likely is. Don't fight it. Pass the race. In races like this, you cannot beat the takeout.
2. Your best (I'd say only) single-race opportunities are in races where you believe there is a false favorite, especially if you expect that favorite to be out of the exacta or/and trifecta. These are your best single-race bet opportunities.
3. KAsept is dead-on about "Pressing" on the horse you like the best. Having said that, when betting exactas, avoid betting combinations that will "get you even" for a race. In the long run, you are better off using those $$'s on more profitable wagers.
4. Do avoid place/show wagering. There is little sense in spending more money on a race in the hope of getting some of your money back. As with the above, keep those $$'s in your pocket and use it on a more profitable wager later. In other words, a Win/Place wager is not one bet. Look at them separately. Betting to place? No way is betting to break even, or make/lose a little money on a race a winning strategy.
5. When betting to win, you must press your advantage when given the opportunity. If you think a horse's fair odds are 3-1 and you are willing to bet it at 5-1, you need to bet more as the odds increase.... i.e., $10 @ 5-1, $12 @ 6-1, $15 @ 10-1.
This runs counter to some popular thought that longer priced bets should be considered as "action" plays and not "prime" wagers and somehow are only worthy of nominal wagers. I understand but do not ascribe to that strategy as I see it more as a "Bankroll Preservation" tactic as compared to a winning strategy.
Thank you for sharing your experiences. I am most certainly at least distantly related to the muttering fellow on the train.
Thanks again.
Good luck!!
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