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Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
I consider breeding higher quality horses to add a greater dynamic to racing(which is what Bernardini has a real chance to do...remember, he will get all of Goldolphins best mares that are from the Northern Dancer sireline) is 'better for racing' (as he quoted in making his point) than the attention and notice the sport got for Barbaro....would you really argue that?
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I agree with a lot of what you've written in this thread, but the correlation of great horse to great offspring is too weak to get excited about Bernardini's future as a sire. Nor do I agree that there is much need for another top sire, unless that sire is going to pass on durability. With 4 races under his belt, it's too soon to speculate whether Bernardini is durable.
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Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
A casual racing fan probably won't remember who won the '06 Derby in ten years...just a fact....it would take a hint such as "the horse that broke his leg" - and THAT is what they will associate Barabaro with...that is just the cold, hard facts man...
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A casual racing fan will not be able to mention a single top sire. Nor will the fan care if the breed is perceived to be "getting faster". Besides, the most noteworthy change in the breed in the last 25 years is the apparent increase in fragility.
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Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
Additionally, horse players who wager on the sport make the game go round, not casual horse fans that only care to watch the Derby and MAYBE the Breeders' Cup....As a very involved horse player who is consistantly supporting this game, I want to see dynamic race horses that go on top make a significant imapct on the breed....I want to bet the future stars out of the regally-bred and talented Bernardini...that is what the lifeblood of out industry - the gambler - wants...
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I don't think you know what the gambler wants. As a serious gambler, I want to bet horses that run frequently. If they run twice then take 6 months off, I will be up against inside information that will out-weigh my own handicapping skills. I could not care less whether I am betting on an off-spring of Bernardini or one of Grindstone. What I want is a horse who runs often enough for me to apply whatever capping insights I think give me an advantage over the public.
For that matter, I don't think I can speak for what the casual gambler wants either. I am only willing to bet when I have good reason to think I have an edge. I don't believe the casual gambler thinks in those terms. But I'm pretty certain that the typical horseplayer would not say that the breed needs another good sire.
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Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
I'm not saying that Barbaro DOES NOT have the impact that Bernardini does or will, but my point is that it is too early to say one way or the other and that you could make a very strong point for Bernardini here......that is my point and its only an opinion....
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And I'm not saying which horse will have the bigger impact on racing either. I'm just finding fault with the reasoning you are using to justify Bernardini's importance.
I completely agree with you re Bernardini vs Corinthian, and also your comments re Discreet Cat.
--Dunbar