[GPK]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

The number of A horses fluctuates based on the races and opinions. Since A horses directly affect the cost of back-up tickets they are an integral part of the cost of the overall play. In simple terms going from one A in a race to two As will pretty much double the cost of your back-ups. All this comes down to how you spend your money on individual horses. In other words, using one A in any race will significantly alter how much more money you can spend in other places. Every horse you add will essentially come at the expense of other horses you will either leave off or use for less money. This is why, for instance, in a race with a solid single, deciding to use a much lesser as an additional A can be a poor choice as it will cost you horses in other races that may be significantly more important to use. Playing, and hitting, these bets can be very much, and usually is, about ticket structure within bankroll. Our opinion will rarely be good enough for six races to get through just by being " handicapping smart. "


Your other question is a more complex one, as being " bet strongly " is relative to the horse's connections. Some horses are effectively dead on the board at 3-1 or 7-2 while others can be live at 8-1. The biggest issue I have with race placement is that while it will usually not be perfect, there are too many multi-race bets, tracks need to be much more concious of optimal race placement. Hopefully we will have worked out a strict plan for this at NYRA by the time Saratoga starts. I have had the conversation and this should be worked out.

Andy, does this mean you are not a fan of rolling pick 3's?