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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
For what it's worth, I don't particularly disagree with this in general, but the horse being discussed with the 99 Beyer, Soaring By, did not earn his figure in " free-running fashion ". He broke a tad slow, was not rushed, and made a nice closing move to win off fairly easily. I have no real opinion of his future one way or another, and as always we need to see more races, but it wasn't one of those fast front running victories that often prove unreliable.
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I saw his race differently. A half-step slow, ok. But he had open racetrack in front of him the entire race. Outside post and superior ability combined with no traffic issues, especially at Belmont.... to me that is as free-running a trip as a horse who breaks on top comfortably. Don't get me wrong, very impressive. But again, just a maiden win in fast time with a great trip doesn't put the horse above a graded winner. Solid bet-against for me from an inside post vs tougher next out.