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Originally Posted by SentToStud
Fair enough, that's what makes it interesting. Looking back at his races in '07 and '06 in 2-turn races among the losses were races won by Bernardini, Invasor (twice) and Premium Tap. There is no such quality in this race and his Clark was so awful that it's a toss for me.
Also, I didn't mean to imply that he's got to sit off the pace. I think he will be where Nakitani wants him and that's most likely to be sitting outside , just off of Mr U. If WB had drawn inside, I wouldn't like him as much. Last, I'll be using a couple others as I noted.
As an aside, who do like on top?
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I like Diamond Stripes the best.....although the race is certainly wide open.
Wanderin Boy seems to me like a horse whose style just won't work in this spot. Look at the four races in the last two years that he ran over a 106. Those are also the only four races in which he has been over a length clear of the field at the first call. It has happened every time. If he is over a length clear of the field....he runs a 106 or better. If he isn't....he doesn't.
Wanderin Boy has certainly been facing tough competition (especially compared to a horse like Diamond Stripes) but when he doesn't get his way on the front end - like in the Whitney and the Clark - it isn't just the Invasors and Premium Taps that run by him. He finished sixth in both of those races.
Either way, it should be an interesting race.