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Originally Posted by miraja2
I disagree with you regarding Wanderin Boy's chances to sit off of a fast pace and prevail.
In his last twelve races Wanderin Boy has been on the lead at the first two calls in nine of them. He has finished in the money in all nine of those races with five wins. The three times he was not in the lead at the first or second call, he finished sixth twice and seventh once, with BSFs at least five points below his other efforts. In my opinion he is almost the classic definition of a "need-the-lead" horse. If the track is dry I think he gets cooked here by the rabbit (and all the other speed in the race) and I wouldn't be at all shocked to see him finish off the board.
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Fair enough, that's what makes it interesting. Looking back at his races in '07 and '06 in 2-turn races among the losses were races won by Bernardini, Invasor (twice) and Premium Tap. There is no such quality in this race and his Clark was so awful that it's a toss for me.
Also, I didn't mean to imply that he's got to sit off the pace. I think he will be where Nakitani wants him and that's most likely to be sitting outside , just off of Mr U. If WB had drawn inside, I wouldn't like him as much. Last, I'll be using a couple others as I noted.
As an aside, who do like on top?