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Old 07-08-2006, 08:43 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
It's impossible for me to get overly excited by Henny Hughes.

He's a very nice horse who did what very nice horses are supposed to do to a small field overmatched field on a on lightning fast racetrack. He crushed them.

Lets see what he does when he meets other graded winners.

Lets see what happens when he has to fight to get the trip he wants.

Lets see what he has left in the last 1/16th when he's challenged throughout a race.

I've been watching races and horses a very long time and there's no easier trap to fall into than the horse that wins off easily over inferior competition.

The acid test is not the Vanderbilt, though it figures a far tougher race than the Monmouth romp. The acid test is in November in Louisville.
Another trap that you don't want to fall into is to just assume that an easy romping win over inferior competition means the horse won't cut it when the acid test comes. What I saw in HH's last race was a horse with beautiful mechanics and a very powerful stride rate. There are different types of easy romping wins. for example Afrasaad's (sp?) last race has many people talking about him possibly being one of the best sprinters. Actually I saw some issues with that race and am predicting trouble for him when he tries to step up.
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