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Old 07-08-2006, 09:21 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,377
Default BELMONT: 7/8 (5th-10th)

A quality day at Belmont Friday despite whiffing on the multi-race plays... As suggested yesterday, the P6 was too arduous with the individual races looking more appealing as individual betting opportunities. That proved correct with some great prices flying around including our 5th race longshot alert play Stage Classic who lit the tote for an $81 win price! Gary Sciacca won yet again, this time with Diana Rose who paid $18.80 in the 11 horse 7th. Details below today's selections...

Saturday has the Gr. I Prioress, and we're all over KMc's Capote's Crown and Jimmy Ryerson's Livermore Valley there... I didn't bother with the embarassing Hollywood stakes where ther Swaps drew 4 and the Gold Cup 5. It's pathetic.

The United Nations got in under the Jersey budget wrangling wire, and we glance at the famed race that used grace this country's best grass course at Atlantic City...

Enjoy what looks like a beautiful summer day!
Steve


SELECTIONS -- BELMONT, 7/8 (R5-9)

A very contentious card todat at Big Sandy.. Spread wide and don't be afraid of long prices.. they're your friend!


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f

7 firsters and a consistent quitter in likely fave Endless Virtue...

1. #1 Mrs. Anna B 7-2: Terranova's fast a.m. Five Star Day (24% FTS) bay
2. #9 April Storm 4-1: Clement unveils Overbrook Storm Cat homebred
A. #5 Morning Jewel 12-1: KMc bay by Awesome Again from Adena
B. #6 Endless Virtue 5-2: 8/0-5-2 record says underneath only


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT

1. #5 My Apology 3-1: Lightly raced Dutrow gelding cuts back from 9 to 6
2. #8 Strikeuptheblues 5-2: Bush bay chased winners; 10 hole cost him last
A. #1 Almaviva 6-1: Thunder Rumble colt popped, stopped first lawn try
B. #4 General Congress 10-1: Lostrito bay's two best efforts came on lawn

LONGSHOT ALERT: #3 Quite Continental (15-1) makes 16th start and showed signs of life off long break last out in Philly. Krebs hits 22% 2nd of layoffs...


7th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT

1. #3 Kal El 5-1: 4yo Kelly Kip son perked up in grass bow; Wire job?
2. #2 Mach Three 6-1: 2nd Clement-Overbrook of day makes it a close shave
A. #1 Kingoftheknight 4-1: Stone closer from Dutrow may not get ideal set up
B. #6 Thought Leader 5-2: Saint Ballado red now with Godolphin; Away a year

LONGSHOT ALERT: Dizney-bred/owned #7 American Revolution from Mott is overlaid like crazy at 12-1... Has drilled 26f stoutly since 5/20 comebacker, and isn't far off top tabs at top of game... Use.


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f

1. #2 Cool Spring Saint 3-1: Hard to get past stalking Levine-Coa candidate
2. #6 Moon's Halo 9-2: West Point bay chased Samurai, Exc. Qual, Songster
A. #9 Strummer 15-1: Tote atttractive on Bush NY-bred Winkfield winner
B. #8 Azul Da Guanabara 8-1: Brazilian via Dubai gets Lasix; Drilling sharp


9th: PRIORESS BREEDERS CUP (Gr. I), $250,000, 3yo fillies, 6f

1. #5 Capote's Crown 3-1: Desormeaux gets along great with KMc's BEL lover
2. #8 Livermore Valley 10-1: Grab tab on Ryerson gal never off board career
A. #1 Silvestris 6-1: Albertrani getting sustained efforts from sprinters
B. #4 Wildcat Bettie B 5-1: Must avoid regression, but respect Jones a bunch


10th: NYB-Alw/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT

1. #3 Cozadoro 15-1: Inviting num on cutback player with two best on lawn
2. #4 Bagavond 8-5: Hard to love at odds-on with speed aplenty signed on
A. #7 One Day Soon 15-1: Stunning $ available on closer that jumped on sod
B. #5 Sigh You 10-1: Note two best efforts came turfing; Can sit trip off pace

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #6 Prince Billy (20-1) would be a helpful addition to the bottom of exotics...


P4 Play:

7: 1-2-3-6-7
8: 2-6
9: 5
10: 3-4-5

5x2x1x3 = $30

Good luck today!
Steve


RESULTS -- BEL, 7/7 (R4-9)

Great start to the day as Zip Stream nabs third at 22-1 making the tri ($187) and Super ($540) work.. The 4 we used in the sextet WAS the Super, and lear Heels was 5th!

4: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #1 Wicked Love 6-1: 2nd @ 3-1
2. #6 Sweet Corredor 4-1: 4th @ 2-1
A. #5 Zip Stream 12-1: 3rd @ 22-1
B. #10 Clear Heels 20-1: 5th @ 14-1

NOTE: #4 Fairytale Story (2-1) is obvious here and needs to be used in your multis, but may be vulnerable off the layoff: WINS @ 2-1


5: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

We offered the longshot alert on winner Stage Classic after dropping him from the selections in favor of Bobby Frankel's Jockey's Dream. When asked why we sometimes offer up as many as 5 horses, a race like this is the perfect example...

1. #1 Victory Circle 6-1: 8th @ 5-1
2. #6 Mikethemoondog 9-2: 2nd @ 7-2
A. #2e Contessa entry 9-2: 4th & 6th @ 11-2
B. #9 Jockey's Dream 4-1: 3rd @ 3-1

LONGSHOT WATCH: #5 Stage Classic (30-1) is part of rebuilding Pederson's string, and though long in the tooth, has back figs that make him competitive for tote boost underneath if Jen has him dialed in. Capable conditioner likely out to prove herself anew, and finds Jara for this opp: WINS @ 39-1

EX: $477
TRI: $3,008


6: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f

This one eludes us as Naveah (10-1) runs by our 8-1-4 triple... Cassette Case continues great run of performances runing 2nd. She ever seems to miss hitting the board...

1. #4 Little Miss Zip 2-1: 4th @ 2-1
2. #6 What's Your Point 9-2: 7th @ 4-1
A. #1 Girl in Uniform 3-1: 3rd @ 2-1
B. #8 Cassette Case 6-1: 2nd @ 7-1


7: Clm, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

We bet Our Man Sciacca who wins his 9th of the meet with Diana Rose while in the parking lot at Shea Stadium taking his son to the Mets game! Classic Expression is just a notch below Fairytale Story doing the comeback thing finishing 2nd to nab the decent $111 exacta for you.

1. #6 Town Charmer 6-1: 5th @ 7-1
2. #9 Loves to Peak 6-1: 11th @ 19-1
A. #3 Brooke Haley 10-1: 6th @ 2-1
B. #1 Diana Rose 10-1: WINS @ 17-2

NOTE: #4 Classic Expression (5-2) adds another element to what makes this a hard P6. Like Fairytale Story, comes back at a low tab and while capable and a multi race-must use, appears beatable: 2nd @ 4-1


8: The Ziggy's Boy (L), $65,000, 3yo's, 6f

Philly flash is Fabulous indeed wiring the Ziggy's Boy... This is a quality runner.

1. #4 Fabulous Strike 5-2: WINS @ 4-5
2. #6 Urban Guy 6-1: 4th @ 10-1
3. #5 Luxembourg 3-1: 2nd @ 3-2

NOTE: #1 Saint Daimon (7-2) wheels back in 6 days, classic Allen Jerkens move, after viewing Henny Hughes' tail from 10 in the Gr. III Jersey Shore: 3rd @ 9-1


9: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Gomez may have been the difference getting a dream trip on winner "Turf", but Romans' Saturday's Cat was likely "best" of this nightcap... A $25 exacta ends the good day, but we were most pleased with another good effort from Longshot Alert candidate Anxious Contender. Mike Shevy's gelding, at 60-1, ran his heart out from the 10 hole three wide all the way around. He couldn't hang on to juice the Super, but is a bet-back with a move to a better post next time.

1. #5 Saturday's Cat 6-1: 2nd @ 5-1
2. #1 Gold Key 3-1: 6th @ 3-1
A. #4 Not on My Turf 7-2: WINS @ 3-2
B. #9 One Goodnight 8-1: 4th @ 10-1

LONGSHOT ALERT: #7 Anxious Contender (30-1): Good 'ol Mike Shevy can spring upsets, and repeat of this Flying Zee-bred's September '05 mud-to-turf effort could put him in the super at a likely huge number: 5th @ 60-1!
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