Belmont picks
Since I gave out a winner posting under Gus' picks last week, I'll try again here:
Race 1: #2 Lord Snowdon is the fastest horse in the race. He has run 3 races faster than all others, including his last at Delaware. The trainer switch from T Dutrow could be a problem, however. #3 Oh My Stars, very consistent, breaking from the rail, could hit the board.
Race 2: #9 Prom Party, ML favorite for Pletcher add blinkers, should be ready to roll (It seems Pletcher either Fires big on these type days, or doesn't, no in between, so this may be a telling race). #8 Risky Agenda has some relatively fast figs, should be dangerous. #5 Wild Hoots, very expensive horse switches from Mott to McLaughlin, first try on the turf.
Race 3: taking a stand against Hesanoldsalt, ran big at Pimlico, may react today. #1 AP Arrow comes in fresh, gets the rail. #3 Papi Chullo makes 2nd start for Contessa, 1st was lifetime best. Dangerous, although had a perfect rail skimming trip in last.
Race 4: Very competitive sprint where just about anyone can win. Trying to beat Smoky Chimney, Andy likes #11 Minority Report, but this one would have to jump up off the layoff to win. #3 Berry Bound gets the tepid call. Longshots #2 Quick and Easy, and the #1 Entry, could catch a piece at fair prices (and possibly win).
Race 5 Another very competitive race, but I think #8 Criminologist is set up for a big one, hopefully get somewhere near ML 8-1. #7 Meribel comes in 3rd off layoff, 1st 2 have been very good. #6 Cala Lilly broke poorly in last, can rebound.
Race 6: #5 Bardonaro looks very tough in here, although I've heard some negatives about him. I do think #7 Joey P is set to run big today.
Race 7: Ultra competitive 5 horse field, none of which would be a surprise. ML favorite Wait a While's figs don't stand out despite all her wins, Tepid call goes to longest ML horse, #3 Miss Shop, whose as good as any here on her best.
Race 8: This is where I'm either a genius, or a money wasting dope. #10 Hobbitontherocks, although I wish they had chosen a softer spot, fits with these, expect at least 20-1. #5 Sports Town's last makes him the fastest coming in. Yes #2 Deadly Dealer is very dangerous for Pletcher (how has he done to this point?). #6 Most Distinguished is solid, but not overly distinguished.
Race 9: #1 Dream Rush on top. #6 Boca Grande for 2nd. Nuff Said!
Race 10: I agree with Gus here, #8 Cosmonaut should be ready to get his grade 1. #1 Minister's Joy is very consistent, albeit a bit slower than the others at their best. #5 Steppenwolfer may hit the board at a price. #3 Sky Conqueror ran huge last out, may "bounce" off that. #9 Kiss the Kid, has fast figs this year, but in my opinion, is distance limited.
Race 11: The Belmont Stakes.. as I said in previous post, if Curlin doesn't regress today, he never will. #6 Hard Spun gets a less than confident Nod, using #1 Imawildandcrazyguy, #2 Tiago,#7 Rags to Riches (and #3 Curlin, I'm not that dopey) underneath.
Also, race 8 at Arlington, the 2 horses that I liked last week against Dreaming of Anna who were scratched are running today in the 8th. Not much value, as they are the ML favorites, but might be worth an exacta box, #3 Secret Kin, and #4 Trainee.
Good luck to all.
Last edited by golfer : 06-09-2007 at 05:40 AM.
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