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Old 05-31-2007, 09:54 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
I was telling a friend on PM yesterday that because of this hit, I have become smarter(so far). Some of you might not understand this but alot of my tilt sessions were 'chasing' based, and not day chasing but total amount chasing as far as debt. I have zero debt now, and the other night while playing Mountaineer, I actually STOPPED playing midway through a card, after I hit that 4th race hard. Now, in the last 14 years of wagering (yes, I started when I was 14), I have never stopped midway through a card, nothing was ever enough, it was either broke or enough to pay something in full.
This does nothing to show me you are ready for the next step. Exactly the opposite, in fact. You stopped because you "hit that 4th race hard"? I don't even know if that means you won big or lost big, but either way it should not have been your sole criterion for stopping.

There are only two reasons an advantage capper should stop midway through a card:
1. You have already capped the rest of the card and you know you can expect no edge on any of the remaining races.
2. You are too tired or too upset to use good judgement.

Maybe you lost enough in the 4th at Mountaineer to upset you, in which case you did the right thing by stopping. But it's not a good sign that you can lose enough in a single race to put yourself on tilt.

Scoring a nice win is most definitely NOT a reason to stop for the night. Is the next day's play somehow part of a separate sequence? It's all one long play, not a bunch of separate days.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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