Not sure why there is such amazement with Pletcher's early success with 2 year olds this year. This happens EVERY year (maybe to a lesser extent). He always has 50 or so amazing maiden breakers / allowance winners every year between the Belmont (both), Saratoga, and Gulfstream Park meets and 90% of them appear to be the next superhorse.
He is a tremendous trainer in getting young fast horses to the gate and run fast (typically in sprints).
My concern, if I was going to give him my horse, is that it appears to me (compared to other top trainers) that a small % (not number, but %) of these emergenging superstars "turn the corner". Most of them are done by the fall of their 3 year old careers.
For every Ashado, More than Ready, Flower Alley English Channel, etc there are 50 Confederations, Indy Dancer, Heckle, etc whose first couple races are their best in the carrers.
I agree he will one / many of the classics soon. You throw enough darts against the board eventually you will hit a bulls eye. Just in sheer numbers it would seem impossible for it to not happen.
|