Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
Beyer did some odd things with the day. He split out the Diabolical race. I chose to split the day there. I can see why he did it, though I don't agree.
Splitting the variant there gives Chelokee around an 89 figure, which does seem low. The pace was pretty quick in that race though, so I tend to think the 89 is a good figure. Beyer instead gives Chelokee his 95, while downgrading the Diabolical race by itself.
He does then split the variant for the 11th and 12th, while reverting back to the old variant, or splitting again, for the last race.
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I don't agree with splitting out the Diabolical race either. That was a tremendous performance by both him and Talent Search, whom I hold both in high regard.
Looking at the 6F races, I assigned Suave Jazz a 96 and worked off of there (I didn't buy the 108 at Del at ALL, and using his previous numbers this was the best fit) which gets a 96 for Street Magician (par for the level and himself), a 94 for the Kingpin (Munson Roy E., fair for an improving colt, maybe a touch higher than I expected- the race to watch in future performances), and a 115 for Diabolical.
Here's the thing I have a problem with. It seems like the Beyer associates are hesitant to release a big number these days, even if it's warranted. "It rained a little" isn't a reasonable argument as to splitting the variant for two specific races, then reverting back to the original variant for the finale.
Basically all I'm saying is there were some outstanding performances on Saturday that may or may not be duplicated in future starts, but that's not the objective of a speed figure. It's to assign a numerical value to that
specific performance, it should be up to the handicapper to determine the legitimacy of the number.