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Originally Posted by JDank34
I think it is impossible to look at the Derby Trial at 7.5 furlongs and that pace and correspond it to loping along in front at PIM and possibly setting 23 and 46 fractions and if he does that he will go a long way in the lead....
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I agree! You can't compare what he did in that race with his chances in this one!
I don't know if I would consider :46 for a half "loping along" in a 9.5f race. The pace should be strong up front, and he seems far more likely than Hard Spun to me to fall apart. You have him finishing in front of Hard Spun? I don't see how you come up with that one.
Oh well, it seems like you are determined to play him so I will stop trying to talk you out of it. Like I said earlier in the thread, I am not playing the race at all, so I truly wish you the best of luck with FFC. It should pay EXTREMELY well if you hit it.