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Originally Posted by ELA
If Street Sense had to go outisde, and so on, does he still win? Beyer says no, maybe not, probably not, etc. I am not so convinced he doesn't win. The exercise in allocating a loss of one length for every path, etc. -- that of course is not an exact science. I guess the question might be, where does, could, would, he have to move to the outside and go around horses?
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Saving a path of ground on the turn roughly equals one length of ground gained---however, there is often a cost that comes with trying to save ground. It's the rare exception when a deep closer gets a clear rail-run in a seven horse field--let alone a 20 horse field.
Had Street Sense been moved off the rail, he'd have to circle around the entire field, as there was a crush of horses occupying paths two through five.
It's one thing to save ground....but, even in a much smaller field, it's rare when you can save every inch of ground without consequence.