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Originally Posted by King Glorious
I know about Going Wild. I know about some other seeming longshots that Lukas has brought to these races. I also know about Charismatic, Commendable, Thunder Gulch, Spain, and Cat Thief. If anyone deserves the benefit of the doubt in this kind of situation, it's him. Plus, I do believe that the horse has some actual talent. Strange as it seems, I think he wins the Arkansas Derby if Curlin wasn't in there. I think that if Curlin wasn't there and the rider didn't have to make his move when he did to keep up with Curlin, he could have waited just a bit longer and the result could have been a lot different. I don't expect FFC to win the Preakness but it wouldn't be a total shock to me either. I give him about a 50% chance to hit the tri.
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Yes it is strange to think that with Curlin not in the Ark Derby, that FCC would have beaten the 4 other horses that finished in front of him that day.
chances of him being in the tri? 25:1 if you ask me.
I think he has no shot to win, I think he is a sprinter and will not get this distance.