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Originally Posted by ninetoone
I think being 19th out of a 20 horse field in the Derby was not a wise move by Calvin, although I can't deny it worked out for him. Run that race 100 times though, with him in that same spot, and I think he only wins about 10% of the time if he's lucky. More times than not, he would have to lose momentum at some point trying to pass 18 horses. If things played out the way they normally would have, we'd be talking about how Hard Spun won the Derby, and SS backers would be playing him as the 2nd choice in the Preakness on the 'troubled trip' angle.
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"although I can't deny it worked out for him"
you aren't trying hard enough. some people think the war was a good idea. follow their example.
"Run that race 100 times though, with him in that same spot, and I think he only wins about 10% of the time if he's lucky."
you missed a "0" in that percentage or meant "unless" instead of "if".
"More times than not, he would have to lose momentum at some point trying to pass 18 horses."
i bet the red sea but have come to accept the win by moses. learn from me.
"If things played out the way they normally would have, we'd be talking about how Hard Spun won the Derby, and SS backers would be playing him as the 2nd choice in the Preakness on the 'troubled trip' angle"
most ss backers are all over hard spun in that universe. someone needs to empty the triple crown winner drool bucket in both.