Philcski,
I'm not playing Hard Spun or Curlin for a couple of reasons.
1) I think Street Sense will win.
2) An exacta with SS over HS and Curlin won't pay anything.
3) Even though my devotion to historical trends cost me in the Derby, I'm sticking with what I have learned over the years in the Preakness. One of the things I have learned is that horses who run big in defeat in the Derby seem to regress in the Preakness. Or at the very least, the don't run as well as the betting public expects. The horse who best fits this in this spot is Hard Spun.
4) Like I said, I think Curlin needs a rest. He's done a lot this spring.
Maybe a better way of saying "run big in defeat in the Derby" would be to say "outrun their odds in the Derby."
Final point: Saying I don't like Hard Spun and Curlin has more to do with my historical observation, and less to do with their talent level. My thoughts on the others are more based on basic handicapping.
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