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Originally Posted by AeWingnut
I really don't think that you can blame anyone for not pointing toward the Preakness. The Ky Derby is the goal. I don't know how many starts Unbridled had before the Derby. Street Sense's two starts was a big deal because it's been 50 yrs or something since anyone had won with less than 3. Historically, horses that are cranked up for the Derby are still cranked up for the Preakness. The majority, in recent times have cruised in the Preakness.
I imagine Hard Spun will be 9/5 and Street Sense 2-1. Can't see Curlin worse than 4-1. I think Curlin might be ready to throw in a clunker. The rule, normally is 3 and out. That's why I left him off my Derby tri 
Street Sense may have avoided the rail at Keeneland because it wasn't the place to be. Don't know what will be the strategy in Baltimore. Do you think someone will sit on the rail just to make SS go around? Churchill or Pimlico - if they're bunched up on the turn, he's going to blow by 'em like they're sitting still. |
There's no way in hell Hard Spun will be a shorter price than Street Sense..
About the rail thing though.. That's another thing that concerns me about Street Sense in the Preakness. Since I've been watching Borel, I've noticed that he's great at sneaking up the rail and mediocre at best at everything else. In the past few weeks alone, I've seen him move way too early on about four different horses when the rail wasn't available. You can get away with an early move if you're on the wood.. Outside.. Not so much.