Post Position one took down four of the five dirt races over this track on Breeders Cup day---I believe three of which at double digit odds...and the inside is playing better now than it has in some past CD meets.
I know it's a lot different in a 20 horse field, where you have to come out slightly to avoid the rail, and you have a crush of horses trying to get inside, but all chance is CERTAINLY not lost because a horse is breaking from the rail.
With a long run into the first turn, horses drawing on the extreme outside should have every chance to work there way into an ok position.
The draw is very overrated. If you have a real nervous horse, I guess you'd ideally want post #9 or #10, as they will be one of the last three or four to load--and aren't breaking from too far out.
All in all---the post draw is massively overrated.
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