Quote:
|
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Using any horse's performance over a sloppy track to predict future races, especially when they have little other confirmed good form, is probably a mistake. And, how that performance, even if believable ( which I don't think it is ), makes 1 1/16th " prefect " for him is outside of my scope of reasoning. The simple fact is he has failed in both his attempts to stretch his speed and neither one were particularly tough spots. They were, I guess, good enough to win here. My biggest problem with this horse is that I strongly believe his best races are behind him.
I don't buy your reason for why he was scratched from the Woody Stephens, as he certainly could have competed in all these races, and believe the previous poster who mentionmed the gap in works is much closer to the true story.
|
I'm not sure I liked the fact he was just scratched from the Monmouth race against Henny Hughes Saturday either....to me, you want to train a horse a little different to get a niche distance like 1/16-miles around one turn versus a the sprint distance that he was cross-entered in at Monmouth Sat......I'm sure the entering at monmouth was more of an afterthought and more of just a security blanket, but still.....
As for his future, I still think that he has a monster upside and a lot of good racing in front of him IF THE DERBY DIDN'T RUIN HIM, which is a pretty big 'if' because we've seen it before....But, I'll tell you what, there was not 1 horse that looked and trained better than him the weeks leading up top the Derby at CD...not even Barbaro (they were close IMO)..Keyed Entry is a very, very good horse IMO and if 6 panels is not too shrt for his best effort then I really think he is a legitamate BC Sprint horse...we'll see......I will say that I will NOT like if he runs in the King's Bishop against the monsters he'll be in against off of the Dwyer on the turn back angle...not sure that is the best way to tackel Songster, Too Much Bling and Henny Hughes is to come in turning back like that...we might see...