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Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
All Great points except for the PP's. We must not see the races the same. Watch his trip in the Juvenille compared to street sense. C'mon this horse just exploded from last to mid-pack in about 50 yards. Then he was taken probably 7-8 wide and lost a ton of ground. All I can say is he offeres the best value out of the the top 4 horses. In fact..you watch..although I'd like to say his odds 8-1 or higher...I'll dare to say that he could be in the neighborhood of 6 or 7-1.
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In the derby I don't look for a horse with a quick explosive move. Those are usually horses that run slow in the beginning of the race, then kick in their rally. The juvenile was 8.5 furlongs, a better distance for a stretched out sprinter. In the derby that looks like it won't have a blistering pace, I don't want a horse that might be in 16th position at the half mile position, counting on some explosive rally through the field. I would much rather have a horse that can more naturally cruise just off the pace and then make a sustained rally.
Think about it, what derbies were won by horses making quick explosive moves?
Another point about CQ, to me others appear to be faster.