
04-29-2007, 02:00 PM
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Goodwood
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Early P4 thoughts:
R2: Mastermind lays over this field and has enough early speed to gain the lead. Speed did very well yesterday and a repeat of his last race at this trip would win easily.
R3: Several in with a chance here; don't discount the chances of the #1 Expiration Day on the short rest, who with a repeat of her 3/11 race closing against the bias could figure at a nice price.
R4: Only one at a price that could figure, Keep a Knockin from Clement, who rarely cranks them up first out. Two steady works at Payson are a good sign. The favorites look solid, however.
R5: Flyaway Princess would be very tough if this race was in August '06, but I question her readiness off the long layoff. Only 4 works in '07, none of which are even remotely good. I like the 6, Nordberg. A repeat of her stake effort 2 back should be enough. The 1 showed good closing ability into a moderate pace last out and is on the improve; if the track is fair today she could surprise.
P4:
8/1,2,3,4,5,6/1,3,4,8/1,2,6
$72 ticket for a buck. Playing the 8/1,3,4/1,3/1,6 combo twice.
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Goddamn hangers. Don't know how the 1 or 6 couldn't get by there. UGHHHH I'm so sick of Aqueduct!!
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