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Originally Posted by Round Pen
Dont get mad here folks I was just trying to give you guys an opinion on the race in which I have no vested interest in. But I do wish you guys All the luck in the world.
I am not rooting against your filly I just feel she is still overmatched in this spot. if I were betting the race (which I am Not) I would Play the 2,3,4 In exacta's.
Comeon Guys you have to admit that a filly that broke her Maiden for 15K at Montaineer Park this is a pretty Ambitious spot.
From a handicapping Stand point She is going to have to run a lifetime best Beyer Just to hit the board. Plus the fact that she has never passed a horse from the 3/8.s pole to the wire does not bode well. One other point in order for Sumone to go wire towire here she is going to half to run a half somewhere around 46 and change and she has never shown she can do that.
And if I am wrong about this analysis I will be he first to eat a little Crow(it wont be the First time)
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I'm sure if you had a horse like
Sumwon , you would FEEL the same way we do...and put your
HEART (that she will win no matter what) ahead of your
MIND (handicapping angle). I think this explains OUR reasoning about your post.