Quote:
|
Originally Posted by FlBred
I have been reading and following the board now for several weeks regarding all of the Derby talk and potential winners, favorites, etc. Why is it that Scat Daddy is getting little talk as far as being a legit contender?
Granted I am pretty green when it comes to the ponies as I have only been wagering and following the sport for about 2 years. But I have witnessed this horse in person win the Fountain of Youth and Fl Derby. I thought they were failry impressive victories. Am I not seeing something in these races or this horse that would dismiss these wins??
|
I have consistently underestimated this colt, so it is certainly possible that I am doing it again......but I don't like his chances to be in the exacta. You say you think his FOY was "impresive." Well, in some ways it WAS a very credible win. He came 3-4 wide in a 9f, G2 race (with a field of nine) and won.
However, he was all-out that day to beat a real quitter at 9f in Stormello, and he was actually GETTING weight from Stormello on that day. He ran a 95 BSF that day (which is pretty much his top effort) and while that is certainly respectable, I don't really see a reason to expect any more from him going 10f. In fact, I don't really see anything in his past performances or pedigree to suggest that he will like 10f, or improve much from what he is right now.
He is a solid stakes horse.....but I don't think he is a classic-winner.