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Originally Posted by horseofcourse
I'm not seeing where she'd get an easy lead here...looks to me like the number 5 horse Tylan has had the lead early in 4 of her last 5 races on polytrack with some ok fractions at times with consistent Beyers in the 60s which is well above what Sumwon has done. But I agree, if she shows significant improvement off her last which is likely she could be in the mix here.
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Jazil could probably have the early lead on polytrack if he wanted. My brisnet PPs are at home but I'm pretty sure the 5 horse's pace figures were much lower than Sumwon's. If Sumwon were outside she might have to work to get on top but from the inside with a good break she shouldn't have a problem breaking on top. Then I guess it is up to Willie to judge the pace and see if he should let the pressers pass her or if they are going to let her waltz on the front.