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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Cobalt Blue was also taken back off a slow pace, while racing wide, against the grain of an inside-speed track. Same thing as Hard Spun in the Southwest.
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So you feel Cobalt Blue threw in the towel and gave up 13 lengths in the stretch solely because of the trip and inside bias? If so we really do see races differently. I mean he was passed by horses that raced as wide or wider and were twice as far off the pace.
The fact that Cobalt Blue was a few lengths behind the slow pace, and was not on the inside path, might have explained why he couldn't catch Cowtown Cat that day, but it doesn't explain his rapid fade in the stretch. He was never more than a couple lengths behind the slow pace and wasn't all that wide either. I suspect that his poor performance had much more to do with the fact that he simply may not be as good as his recent SA form might suggest, or perhaps the horse was not really ready for the race, being pushed too fast, perhaps he doesn't ship well, perhaps the absensce of Bute, etc.