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Originally Posted by DerbyCat
Just to play "Devil's Advocate" - didn't Street Sense win the BCJ on a speed biased rail at Churchill Downs last Fall? Is it possible that the rail could be similar in two weeks and if Liquidity gets an inside post he could ride the rail to a win?  |
Street Sense won the Juvie over a rail-favoring track---it certainly wasn't a speed biased track. However, the sensational pace setup he had, was probably more important than the fact he raced on the rail every step of the way.
Even if there is a path bias in the Derby---I highly doubt it will be strong enough to propel a horse like Liquidity to victory. And, Dougie O'Neill plans to take him back, well of the pace, in the Derby---so he says anyway.
As for something A-Team said---I think this talk that O'Neill can't ship is a tremendous myth. Look at Thor's Echo for example. Mistical Plan and Notional both won major races at FG for him. He can ship.