Curlin or Circular Quay wins the Derby while the other runs second. Now that we've established that much, let's examine the possibilities of a TC winner.
If Curlin wins the Derby:
He'll come back and dominate the Preakness as CQ sits out the race. In the Belmont, Curlin is upset, either by CQ or a 30/1 (or more) longshot.
If CQ wins the Derby:
He'll come back and dominate the Preakness as Curlin sits out the race. In the Belmont, CQ is upset by a longshot, either Tiago or that McGaughey horse that ran second in the Wood.
No TC winner this year.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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