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Old 04-24-2007, 10:30 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
You mean the "statistically insignificant trend broken"?
Somebody paid attention in statistics class

Street Sense IS the real deal. He should be favored, and if he isn't the public is making a huge mistake. People get too caught up in trends like the BC Juvy jinx (which, if you look over the winners, especially the last 8-10 years, have been less than stellar beasts) and supposed absolutes... meanwhile the horse that may take over the role of favoritism has raced THREE times, total... another supposed Derby faux pas.

But you couldn't win the Derby off a 5 week layoff, or be a gelding, or from New York or Pennsylvania, or not have a 100 Beyer, or be a front runner, or sleep on the left side of the stall, yada yada...
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