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Originally Posted by MisterB
It would be interesting to know someone who actually handicapped the race, using this beyer number in determining their bet. Allot of people bet the horse, why? did these beyer numbers have influence on them??
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I'm sure to some, they just looked at the big beyer and went gaga.
But if it takes nothing more than looking at beyers, we could boil all the pp's down to columns of beyer figs. Forget the running lines, comments, etc.
The challenge in handicapping is to justify the figure, or to put in in context. Look at how it was earned and ask yourself if those conditions are likely to repeat next time.
DrugS gave the specifics in this case.
On the other hand, you may come to the conclusion that a big beyer IS reflective of the horse and can be repeated, or in some cases even improved upon due to the horse having raced in a disadvantaged sense, either wide or against a bias.
I see all these numbers as only a starting point for further analysis, not as conclusive of anything. They're just one of your tools.