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Originally Posted by MisterB
did these beyer numbers have influence on them??
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From a handicapping prospective, Curlin's 101 Beyer in his debut at GP was a slightly better individual performance than FFC's 107 Beyer at OP in his debut....because of the fact that the latters brilliant performance was bias aided.
Both numbers were absolutley correct..and fairly easy figures to make.
Curlin debuted on the same days as the Holy Bull Stakes, which was won by Nobiz Like Shobiz....his superior final time earned him a figure 5 points faster than Nobiz...who defeated a decent field in that race, 3rd place finisher Scat Daddy has since won the FOY and Florida Derby. 4th place finisher, beaten 10 lengths, named Sam P. has since returned to run 2nd and 3rd in major Derby preps at SA.
Why was FFC the favorite over Curlin in that race? Perhaps because of the fact he was ridden by last years eclipse award winning jockey, and trained by a Hall of Famer who's horses are most often overbet.