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  #35  
Old 04-15-2007, 10:06 PM
easy goer
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
And King of the Roxy beat Storm in May by 11 3/4 lengths in the Hutchinson. I guess Curlin will be filling out the exacta behind him in the Derby.
It's well understood that there is a big difference between 7 fur. races and those longer distances we see in the derby preps. If you want to choose KoRox over Curlin at 7 fur. it might be a decent comparison but the only 7 1/2 fur. race for Curlin is the maiden he won, first time out by 12 3/4! So even then, you dont have a common opponent at 7 fur. and Curlin did pretty well his only go at one turn...

Moreover, the very idea of Beyer figs as I understand them is to be able to compare horses to one another, when they ship to other tracks or whatever. I maybe wrong about that, I only have a casual knowledge of them but I think that is the idea and a reasonable idea. Most people agree Beyer did something for the sport with his figs. even though they are not the be all and end all either. But you are not opposed to his idea are you?

One would think someone of your experience would see the distinction after all, dont experienced punters speak about such things as pace, pressure, ability to stretch out? Clearly comparing horses at difference distances is a recipe for disaster, just imagine comparing Roberto Clemente to Henry Aaron in a league where the fences are 400' from home plate (e.g. in the Caribean winter league)?

This stuff is rather obvious so I guess you just want to be a prick or else confuse other people.

As I stated previously, there are all sorts of comparisons that may be made, and one race is certainly not the be all and end all by any means. I tried to find a horse that was reasonable comparison, I tried to find distances that were reasonably the same distance, I tried to find a horse that was as highly regarded for the derby as Curlin, I tried to find a horse that seemed to fire about the same in each race, DK is a decent horse, he did decent in each race. I tried to point that there were some differences in the race e.g. trouble and wind. There is no perfect comparison and of course other data pts. would certainly be appreciated.

Perhaps you can try again with a more intelligent post. Instead of using a horse like KoRox that has not shot at getting 10f, you can find a horse that is highly regarded for the derby? That might be interesting.
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