I like Windu's logic on this one. I think this is the exact type of race (a lot of inseparable horses and not too large of a dichotomy between the top tier and the second tier) where a bomb can come in. With that said, I think the winner will come from the group of Curlin, SD, NLS, CQ, SS, Tiago, HS and AGS, but upon further inspection, I'll probably chuck a few of those and find some bombs that I like to take their places. Cowtown Cat will probably be around 30/1, which I think is very good value considering that his IL Derby figure was the same as NLS' Wood figure and SD's FL Derby figure.
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