
04-10-2007, 01:35 PM
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Woodbine
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kimmeastar
I just think you guys are getting excited over nothing.A horse who wins his maiden by DQ,then inherits a lead from a bunch of tired horses is NOT a contender in the Kentucky derby,in my book.As a 2 year old,this horse did nothing,and yes,he is a California horse who has done nothing outside of California,so the odds are against him.And I will make my prediction now that he will not be the winner of the Kentucky derby.I don't bet on Connections,jockeys,owners,sentimentality,time off,etc.I base my handicapping on face value.If he cannot set or at least attend to solid fractions,and can only win by inheriting a lead,he isn't worth a bet.Good luck if you waste your money on this fluke.He is going to get eaten alive.
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Have to agree, the left coast will not run good at CD. SA is a set up track for that last effort. won't repeat.
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