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Originally Posted by docicu3
Mr B. with the E. Coli abscess reference so early in the morn......
Are you more of a sheets guy or do you prefer the commented PP's you spoke of previously. Beyers are screening tools in my book nothing more... they get you past the first filter of who you don't like.
I am very intriqued by this horse though after watching the replays on all races back to back. Derby moneymaker ITM possible here if the last race didn't leave him empty for months.
Where are you focusing your efforts today Mr B
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I am not a beyer guy, that's for sure. If anything, when someone tells me what a great beyer a horse had, or this horse had the best beyer, I toss it right away. I guess I can say I use beyers to predict failures, or what the new younger crowd calls, "THE BOUNCE". As you know, just recently, we had a major beyer adjustment on a Derby contender, it didn't matter, he ran like crap. Andy has made millions on this so called theory, but I can't remember when he has picked a derby winner, easy as it should be, with all the great beyer input, yet, a failed mission.
History is just that, History, and to play from that history, without understanding to new requirement, is down right wrong in determining today's outcome. As the day progresses at the track, so does the tracks environment, so to look back at history, with a completely different gang to contend with, what good is that history lesson? I say absolutely nothing at all.
With only 22 days left at the Big A, I am going to look more at some routes until closing day, and be prepared to toss half the field with horses that have been on the upside all winter, and ready to go to the shelf. Fresh horse flesh, 2nd of the shelf is a good place to start looking for winners. Dirt to turf 1ster's looking for a fast pace to collapse, and Lone speed in a sprint.
I will be at Belmont opening day, hoping for a better card than last year.