[Scav]

Alright, I just watched about 50 replays and tore apart some TG's and DRF PP's. My thoughts on each race and who I am using

Race 4: 1,4,7

So their is a very real possibility that this 1 goes gate to wire with his 44 quarter in his first race, broke a tough slow and gunned, should get a rail trip all the way around. The 4 horse is kinda interesting. You have a trainer that knows how to win in Cerin, he has faced the likes of Tenfold, Tiago(x2), and Time Squared and ran well against them and been working consistently well since the minor layoff. Didn't look like a route horse in replays and now back to 6f. His TG's are extremely competitive also. 7 horse is obvious, you get Gomez on the outside, who just always seems to get the trip (maybe he just realizes how much first run is important) but I worry that the pace might not be enough. If they let the 1 go 45, it will be all over, 44 and both the 4 and 7 have a shot

Race 5: 4,10,11

I questioned myself for the last couple of minutes about SINGLING the 4 here. I didn't really look at him until Byk put him on top and it made me relook and I missed alot with this horse. He finally gets an inside post position with no speed in this race now with the scratch of the 3. Court/Polanco scored for me down the hill yesterday (not a viable angle but possible). 10 horse is working well and has a comparable TG number from Euro, his Timeform is extremely impressive also, if you use those. 11 horse is a use based on Talamo, who while I dont know much about, someone I respect says he is the goods so he is aboard, gets some weight and could get a great trip. Blanc, while a great turf rider, is now on the 12 so we will not use him anymore

Race 6: 3,5,6,8

A hard race and more just hoping to get out of it. 5 horse is questionable but Chatlos pops sometimes and don't want to miss him, not comfortable with anyone here

Race 7: 6

NO need to really go into it, the 3 scratches speaks alot about his ones chances

Race 8: 5,7

I really want to single the 5 here as his TG numbers are extremely impressive BUT I don't trust Becerra and I don't want Baffert beating me so I will use him. These are the types that explode off the layoff.

Race 9: 3

An uncomfortable single but we have a horse that just got tired last time and is shortening up in distance. Last time he had a nuiscance 20/1 horse shoot up the rail and cause problems otherwise I think he runs a little bit better. While I will not argue with someone that wants to use the 6, O'Neil is a little shy of 7% in his Maiden claimer debuts....no thanks

4: 1,4,7
5: 4,10,11
6: 3,5,6,8
7: 6
8: 5,7
9: 3

Official ticket ($144)