I played the horse a bit and would offer
1) it was a very weak race on paper, in that case you really should be against the grain of the betting public (I did use same p though)
2) the pace of the race really screamed meltdown, and the horses who were weak were also part of this pace
3) Tiago worked really really good. In fact I believe it was Smiths idea to remove the blinkers for this race after his work two or three back.
4) anyone who has watches horses knows this horse is a better prospect then his brother, and despite the constant ridicule his brother was ok.
5) he was 30/1 in this race.....should have been around 10/1
|