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Old 04-07-2007, 05:11 AM
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Default Aqueduct, full card

Steve, hope you don't mind me posting under you... tough choice but I decided to focus on Aqueduct, Gulstream is running "Calder" card today, I'll leave Tampa and Keeneland to others...

Race 1: #6 Neon Magic is intriguing, 1st time Dutrow, getting weight with Talamo, off freshening. Needs to run back to one of his good ones last year, if the price is right! #2 Forgotten Cat gets the rail, running well right now, should also be a nice price... #4 River Mountain Rd, likely favorite, fast but comes back on 2 weeks rest..#10 Lieutenant Danz, has semi 0-2-x pattern, can improve, although far outside post doesn't help.

Race 2: On the turf? off the turf? will handicap for on, (if it comes off, use the #11, #8 and #3) #5 Serpe's Hangingbyathread ran well with trouble 1st out at GP, can improve here..#4 Vim & Vigor, improving with every start, gets the rail...neither of the Pletcher entry would be a surprise.

Race 3: #3, Violette's Jimmy G, nice ML price, comes off a stretchout bounce, shortens up here with better timing...#4 Hedge Fund, very solid in 1st 2 starts, ships in.. #6 Truman's Gold, exceptionally fast, nice rest, strange pattern read, could easily run off with this.

Race 4: #10 Market Psychology, comes in off big effort, will be likely favorite, outside post, certainly can win, but might want to take a shot against...with that said, using #5 Cockney Gambler, #7 Love Abroad, and #8 Sly Diamond Jim.

Race 5: #7 Talking Treasure, has potentially Xplosive TG pattern, should run well...#10 Love Cove, #2 American Dreama, and #6 Court and Spark, all look solid.. #4 Posey Park, comes back quickly, but has competitive #'s, could hit the board.

Race 6: the 1 and 3/4 mile Pleasant Colony Stakes, unusual distance... the Contessa entry looks great, #1a Successful Affair is most proven at longer distances...don't have any idea why #7 Monopoly Pricing would be in this race, never gone this far, and coming off a pulled up/vanned off? longshot for 2nd could be the slowish, but lightly race #3 My Man Lars..

Race 7: very contentious Bay Shore, taking a shot with #4 Hobbitontherocks, comes in with fastest TG fig in last at Philly, has nice spacing since that one, could be a square price...whichever Frankel horse runs will be dangerous, as are #'s 5 and 6, Bill Place and Wollaston Bay (like Bill Place a bit more).

Race 8: The Wood Memorial.. obviously this comes down to NoBiz or not NoBiz I'm choosing NoBiz!! has run 3 TG 2.5's in a row, today should be the breakthru performance... Any Given Saturday broke through with TG zero in last, ships in from Tampa with just 3 weeks rest, may react..#5 Summer Doldrums is solid, and #3 Sightseeing ran a good one at GP last month, comes in a bit slower than the top horses, but can improve, DANGEROUS!

Race 9: the Carter, #3 Ah Day, hasn't been facing this type, but the TG #'s are excellent...#5 Diabolical, looks good although I heard Andy say he may scratch...#6 Latent Heat, favorite giving weight, taking a shot against. #4 Silver Wagon, extremely fast, but may react to his last (TG neg 2). #7 Keyed Entry, obviously dangerous, especially if this is looking like Pletcher Saturday.

Race 10: the Excelsior, #1 Corinthian, gets the rail, nice timing, should be very tough to beat...expect a good run from #3 Naughty New Yorker, despite Samyn... #4 Magna Grad, the key horse in the sense of throwing out, which is tough to do, especially if Pletcher's are running.

Race 11: MSW night cap, very evenly matched race, looks like any of top 4 can win, #1 Contessa's Timirene should improve 2nd start from the rai, #2 Golden Manna, nice circle back pattern, although comes back a bit quickly..#6 It's All Good, nice spacing off a stretchout, 1st Lasix bounce, can rebound here with Talamo...nothing wrong with Tullock's #8 Automatic Appeal. use all 4.

As always, Good Luck to all

Just looked at the Oaklawn Handicap, race 10, which is the TG Race of the Week... #4 Papi Chullo looks very enticing, especially at 12-1 ML.. favorite Lawyer Ron should run well, but is giving alot of weight, don't like McCanns Mojave at all.. will use #'s 1,2 and 3, Brother Bobby, Jonesboro, and Smokeyjonessutton underneath with Lawyer Ron.

Last edited by golfer : 04-07-2007 at 06:36 AM.
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